CiletuhGeopark area in Palabuhan Ratu West Java, is the National Geopark area, which is in the filing stage to FAO to become an international Geopark. This region is known to have unique geological potential, as well as having an outstanding natural beauty. The development of this area into a conservation
-based tourism area, suggests the importance of studies related to the prospective analysis for the sustainable tourism development aspect of the region, so that the geological richness of the region is maintained. This prospective analytical study aims to identify key determinants that influence the development of sustainable geopark tourism and develop development strategies. The method used for this prospective analysis is the Forum Group Disscussion (FGD) to identify key variables, and structural analysis to see the influence / dependence of each variable with another variable, using a consensual valuation approach using MICMAC software. The results of the study show that the most influential variables in the development of this area are tourism security, local tourist potential, road infrastructure, local community support, Geopark tourism, Geopark promotion and governance / institutional, and local and central government support . The study shows the actual condition in the pessimistic scenario, thus it needs to be encouraged by some determinant variable so that in the future can be produced optimistic scenario.
Ciletuh, Geoparks, Sustanaible Development, Prospective Analysis
